With Newcastle staying up this season in the Premier League, fans of the club may wish to take a more active role in their team than just watching the games. Betting on the outcomes of games is a surefire way to get in on the action; one that lets you become even more invested in Newcastle’s games while, hopefully, making some money on the side.
When it comes to football betting, the basic idea is to somehow beat the bookmaker with a well-planned strategy. You may not want to place your hard earned cash on anyone but Newcastle but that doesn’t mean you should just blindly bet on your favourites regardless of the odds. Let’s take you over some tried and tested some football betting strategies that have helped a great number of punters register handsome profits.
Value betting
Value football betting is a football betting strategy wherein you don’t back a team to produce a certain result, rather, you just go through the odds offered by different bookmakers, and try finding odds that have been undervalued.
It’s pretty easy to calculate the percentage winning chance given by a bookmaker to a particular team. If a team is being offered at 4/1 to win an upcoming football match, you can find out the winning percentage chance through the following formula:
Winning percentage chance = [1 / (4 + 1)] x 100 = 20%
In this case, there’s a 20% chance that this team will win the match (as per the bookmaker). You could research the current form and head-to-head stats of the team, but to do so you would need to refer to some reliable football betting tips, and determine your own fair value. Your own knowledge about the team is vital but it’s important to get as much info about the actual betting as possible. As, for example, in case you figure that a team has more like a 35% chance of winning the match, it would mean that the bookmaker has undervalued the odds, and this is where you can hopefully register some profit.
Let’s say you plan to bet on an upcoming Newcastle match featuring Karl Darlow, their stopper, but are also aware that he’s yet to get the needed assurances from the club. You could use this info in your betting strategy and make it count. While this type of betting seems to have the least to do with the actual sport in question, as it really is all about pitting your own knowledge against the bookies. The thing is, though, that for all that bookies may know about the game overall, their eagle-eyed view of the tournament gives them certain blindspots in terms of the teams themselves. As a Newcastle fan, for example, you may well know the ins and outs of the team in a way that bookies don’t. You may, in our example, have been watching Darlow carefully enough to see a pattern in his playing that even the best bookies might have missed so what you would want to do here is look out for any time that the bookies value him less than you do and bet accordingly.
Over/under 2.5 goals
This is a straightforward and simple football betting strategy that plays far more into your knowledge of both Newcastle and their fiercest competitors, wherein you select a bunch of matches and predict if they’ll end with over or under a specific goal line. As is applicable to any betting strategy, none of these strategies are set in stone, and there’s never a 100% certainty of then working. However, this one’s a plain 50/50 shot option, comparatively better than having a 1 in 3 shot when it comes to predicting the outcome (Win, Draw, Loss).
Every betting strategy is based on some statistics, and in case of this one, you can base your prediction on the average number of goals scored and conceded by the concerned team in the ongoing season’s home or away matches. You could use a website like BBC to get all this info but as a fan of the Club, you should have more than a few insights of your own. Don’t be afraid to act on your own knowledge and your own intuition as a serious fan.
Thereafter, you repeat the same process for the opponent team. As a result, you’d get the likely minimum and maximum average goals expected in the game. In case the average seems high enough, let’s say 2.80 or higher, you’d get better value from over the goal line.
Laying correct scores
There are several betting exchanges that allow punters to bet in a manner that they can strategically offset their losses or maximize their wins. For instance, if you want to go beyond Newcastle and the current Premier League games, you could go for even greater odds and bet on a particular selection in the World Cup, let’s say Portugal to draw with Spain in their upcoming World Cup encounter, and then opt for another in-play selection (against the initial bet) while the match is being played.
You’d always emerge on the profitable side as long as you avail the right betting prices.
As in case of any football betting strategy or system, you’d need to go a lot deeper in order to make it count. Knowing that Newcastle is, say, in tenth place this year only gets you so far but having the in-depth knowledge that comes with being a dedicated fan of the team should give you even greater odds of winning than casual fans or those for whom football is nothing more than a way to make money. Use your fandom to your advantage! Furthermore, it is important that you don’t follow any such strategy blindly, and always test it before investing any big money on it.
